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Fight Card — Weekly Starts

Week 2 HIT

10 must-starts. Locked before kickoff. Graded when the games are final.

Week 2 Grade

HIT

+9 pts over our number

UNDISPUTED0/1LOSS−9 ptsPAYBACKS3/3KO+24 ptsSPIKE1/3LOSS−9 ptsLONGSHOT1/2KO+4 pts

UNDISPUTED

Must starts.

RB1Jahmyr GibbsPROJ 22.823.3 DRAW+0.5
@BUFRun: Soft
RB4Christian McCaffreyPROJ 23.122.6 DRAW−0.5
MIARun: Soft
RB5Ashton JeantyPROJ 19.510.3 LOSS−9.2
@LACRun: Even

0 KO

PAYBACKS

Cold last week. Due this week.

WR6CeeDee LambPROJ 15.335.3 KO+20.0
WASPass: Soft

Last week: 12.9 pts

RB6James CookPROJ 18.720.9 KO+2.2
DETRun: Even

Last week: 8.4 pts

RB10Omarion HamptonPROJ 15.717.5 KO+1.8
LVRun: Soft

Last week: 8.3 pts

3 KO

SPIKE

Upside swings.

WR17Tetairoa McMillanPROJ 13.515.1 KO+1.6
@ATLPass: Even
WR13Emeka EgbukaPROJ 17.110.3 LOSS−6.8
CLEPass: Even
TE19Hunter HenryPROJ 10.87 LOSS−3.8
PITPass: Tough

1 KO

LONGSHOT

WR62Dontayvion WicksPROJ 6.412.4 KO+6.0
@NYJPass: Soft
RB41MarShawn LloydPROJ 118.6 LOSS−2.4
@NYJRun: Soft

1 KO

Card so far5 KO

How we grade ourselves

Every name on this card gets graded against its projected points once the games are final.KO= beat the projection by more than a point.DRAW= within a point either way.LOSS= missed the projection, or didn't play.

Missed the Card

KOs we didn't put on the poster

Tre TuckerWR22.98.9KO
Dalton SchultzTE2610.6KO
Travis KelceTE25.111.1KO
Jake FergusonTE20.311.2KO
Dalton KincaidTE22.511.6KO

4th & Huddle

Full Sunday/Monday card locks Saturday 8:00 PM ET. Grades Tuesday morning.

Weekly EV, spike chance, and matchup grades come from the same EV model behind the rankings.